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Individual outcome prediction models for patients with COVID-19 based on their first day of admission to the intensive care unit.
Rigo-Bonnin, R, Gumucio-Sanguino, VD, Pérez-Fernández, XL, Corral-Ansa, L, Fuset-Cabanes, M, Pons-Serra, M, Hernández-Jiménez, E, Ventura-Pedret, S, Boza-Hernández, E, Gasa, M, et al
Clinical biochemistry. 2022;:13-21
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Currently, good prognosis and management of critically ill patients with COVID-19 are crucial for developing disease management guidelines and providing a viable healthcare system. We aimed to propose individual outcome prediction models based on binary logistic regression (BLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) analyses of data collected in the first 24 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admission for patients with COVID-19 infection. We also analysed different variables for ICU patients who survived and those who died. METHODS Data from 326 critically ill patients with COVID-19 were collected. Data were captured on laboratory variables, demographics, comorbidities, symptoms and hospital stay related information. These data were compared with patient outcomes (survivor and non-survivor patients). BLR was assessed using the Wald Forward Stepwise method, and the ANN model was constructed using multilayer perceptron architecture. RESULTS The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the ANN model was significantly larger than the BLR model (0.917 vs 0.810; p < 0.001) for predicting individual outcomes. In addition, ANN model presented similar negative predictive value than the BLR model (95.9% vs 94.8%). Variables such as age, pH, potassium ion, partial pressure of oxygen, and chloride were present in both models and they were significant predictors of death in COVID-19 patients. CONCLUSIONS Our study could provide helpful information for other hospitals to develop their own individual outcome prediction models based, mainly, on laboratory variables. Furthermore, it offers valuable information on which variables could predict a fatal outcome for ICU patients with COVID-19.
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Effectiveness of an intensive weight-loss program for severe OSA in patients undergoing CPAP treatment: a randomized controlled trial.
López-Padrós, C, Salord, N, Alves, C, Vilarrasa, N, Gasa, M, Planas, R, Montsserrat, M, Virgili, MN, Rodríguez, C, Pérez-Ramos, S, et al
Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine. 2020;(4):503-514
Abstract
STUDY OBJECTIVES To determine whether an intensive weight-loss program (IWLP) is effective for reducing weight, the severity of obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), and metabolic variables in patients with obesity and severe OSA undergoing continuous positive airway pressure treatment. METHODS Forty-two patients were randomized to the control (CG, n = 20) or the intervention group (IG, n = 22), who followed a 12-month IWLP. The primary outcome was a reduction in the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) as measured at 3 and 12 months by full polysomnography. Metabolic variables, blood pressure, body fat composition by bioimpedance, carotid intima media thickness, and visceral fat by computed tomography were also assessed. RESULTS Mean age was 49 (6.7) years, body mass index 35 (2.7) kg/m², and AHI 69 (20) events/h. Weight reduction was higher for the IG than the CG at 3 and 12 months, -10.5 versus -2.3 kg (P < .001), and -8.2 versus -0.1 kg (P < .001), respectively, as was loss of visceral fat at 12 months. AHI decreased more in the IG at 3 months (-23.72 versus -9 events/h) but the difference was not significant at 12 months, though 28% of patients from the IG had an AHI < 30 events/h compared to none in the CG (P = .046). At 12 months, the IG showed a reduction in C-reactive protein (P = .013), glycated hemoglobin (P = .031) and an increase in high density lipoprotein cholesterol (P = .027). CONCLUSIONS An IWLP in patients with obesity and severe OSA is effective for reducing weight and OSA severity. It also results in an improvement in lipid profiles, glycemic control, and inflammatory markers. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION Registry: ClinicalTrials.gov; Title: Effectiveness of an Intensive Weight Loss Program for Obstructive Sleep Apnea Syndrome (OSAS) Treatment; Identifier: NCT02832414; URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/record/NCT02832414.
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A randomized controlled trial: branched-chain amino acid levels and glucose metabolism in patients with obesity and sleep apnea.
Barceló, A, Morell-Garcia, D, Salord, N, Esquinas, C, Pérez, G, Pérez, A, Monasterio, C, Gasa, M, Fortuna, AM, Montserrat, JM, et al
Journal of sleep research. 2017;(6):773-781
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Abstract
There is evidence that changes in branched-chain amino acid (BCAA) levels may correlate with the efficacy of therapeutic interventions for affecting improvement in metabolic control. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether serum concentrations of BCAAs (leucine, isoleucine, valine) could mediate in insulin sensitivity and glucose tolerance after continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) treatment in patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). A prospective randomized controlled trial of OSA patients with morbid obesity was conducted. Eighty patients were randomized into two groups: 38 received conservative treatment and 42 received CPAP treatment for 12 weeks. Plasma levels of BCAA, glucose tolerance and insulin resistance were evaluated at baseline and after treatment. After treatment, significant decreases of leucine levels were observed in both groups when compared with baseline levels (P < 0.005). With respect to patients with normal glucose tolerance (NGT), patients with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) had higher baseline levels of isoleucine (78 ± 16 versus 70 ± 13 μmol L-1 , P = 0.014) and valine (286 ± 36 versus 268 ± 41 μmol L-1 , P = 0.049), respectively. Changes in levels of leucine and isoleucine after treatment were related negatively to changes in fasting plasma glucose and glycosylated haemoglobin values only in the conservative group (P < 0.05). In summary, we found that the treatment with CPAP for 12 weeks caused similar changes in circulating BCAAs concentrations to conservative treatment and a differential metabolic response of CPAP and conservative treatment was observed between the relationship of BCAAs and glucose homeostasis. Additional studies are needed to determine the interplay between branched-chain amino acids and glucose metabolism in patients with sleep apnea.